AUD/CAD trend stack intact above 0.98867 EMA20

Renzo

AUD/CAD is threading one of the cleaner trending setups in the G10 crosses, with the price structure offering little ambiguity for momentum desks.

The pair is up 0.28% on the session and has extended a seven-day advance of 0.75%, printing a session high of 0.99274 before consolidating just below that level. No headline catalyst is driving the move today — this is pure tape, with trend flow doing the heavy lifting as prior resistance levels have been cleared in succession throughout the week.

The structure is straightforward for a trend-following desk. Price sits above EMA20 at 0.98867, EMA50 at 0.98686 and EMA200 at 0.98649 — a stacked order that has remained intact throughout the recent grind higher. Trend is aligned up across 1H, 4H and 1D timeframes with RSI firm but not stretched, leaving room for continuation before momentum becomes a concern. Volatility is normal, meaning the move is orderly rather than exhaustion-driven. The first resistance on the board is 0.99302, with 0.99539 as the next structural target beyond it.

We lean long and look to buy dips into the 0.98867–0.98938 zone where EMA20 and the nearest support shelf converge. A daily close below EMA50 at 0.98686 invalidates the setup and forces a reassessment of the trend thesis.

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